🥇 League-Winning Draft Values

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Happy Friday!

Welcome all to the final First Seed Fantasy newsletter of the summer.

If you’re new here, I’m pausing this newsletter during the season as I turn my attention to becoming a father, with the birth of my first child expected in the coming month.

I’ll be back next draft season with more values and draft guides, I promise. Until then, I wish you all the best of luck this fantasy season hope you win all your waiver claims.

Now let’s win these drafts.

In this week’s newsletter:

  • 🏷️ This Week’s Draft Values

  • 📰 Training Camp News

  • 📈 Draft Room Trends

  • 📝 Draft Day Cheat Sheet

  • 🥇 Draft Rankings

🏷️ This Week’s Draft Values

Every week I’ll highlight draft values found in draft rooms, primarily using my Abusing Draft Rankings tool to help find these players.

Obviously right now it’s too early to take advantage of these values, unless you’re drafting this weekend! It’s still a massive benefit to keep an eye on both ADP trends (listed in the next section) and consistent discrepancies between ADP and expert ranks.

RB Raheem Mostert - ESPN

Draft room rank: RB32 | Expert rank: RB23

With a thirty (!!) pick difference in the draft room, Raheem Mostert appears to be the best value in ESPN draft rooms. With the Dolphins looking to use their backfield as a committee again in 2024 there is plenty of valuable touches that Mostert can expect to see.

WR DeAndre Hopkins – ESPN

Draft room rank: WR51 | Expert rank: WR40

The DeAndre Hopkins injury discount is as cheap as it gets right now and I’m buying it all up. There is optimism the WR plays week 1, which to me tells me that he’ll most likely be a full go for week 2 that is discounted with fear of missing several games. This Tennessee passing offense looks like they’re in position to take a step forward this season and Hopkins is a cheap key to that potential.

RB Jordan Mason - Sleeper

Draft room rank: RB??? | Expert rank: RB62

As of right now, Jordan Mason is appearing in Sleeper drafts 1002nd overall and is most likely completely missed by your league mates. Mason could be the most expensive handcuff in football if anything happened to CMC (knock on wood) and is a great last round pick.

Returning Values

  • MIA WR Jaylen Waddle - ESPN, Sleeper & Yahoo

  • LAC WR Josh Palmer - ESPN

  • CAR WR Diontae Johnson – Sleeper

🍺 Buy Me a Beer (or Diapers)

📰 Roster Updates

As NFL teams trimmed their rosters down to 53 players, here are all the fantasy relevant movers:

  • Brandon Aiyuk Saga

    • SF WR Brandon Aiyuk has OFFICIALLY re-signed with the 49ers on a 4-year deal worth $120M

  • Notable Cuts

    • Broncos WR Tim Patrick and RB Samaje Perine

    • Chiefs RB Deneric Prince

    • Panthers WR Terrace Marshall

    • Browns RB D’Onta Foreman

  • PUP Placement (Out for first four weeks of season)

    • Browns RB Nick Chubb

    • Vikings TE TJ Hockenson

    • Ravens RB Keaton Mitchell

    • Packers RB Marshawn Lloyd

    • Panthers RB Jonathan Brooks (NFI technically)

  • Placed on IR

    • Saints RB Kendre Miller

  • Placed on Season-Ending IR

    • Packers RB AJ Dillon (note, Marshawn Lloyd is on PUP)

    • 49ers RB Elijah Mitchell

      • Please note, this makes Jordan Mason the CMC handcuff to own

  • Found a New Team

    • Cowboys sign RB Dalvin Cook

    • Lions sign WRs Tim Patrick and Allen Robinson

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📈 Draft Room Risers & Fallers 📉

Let’s take a look at ADP (average draft position) and some of the biggest movers from the past week.

📈 Risers
🔼 +53 - Jordan Mason - RB, SF
🔼 +38 - Troy Franklin - WR, DEN
🔼 +32 - Miles Sanders - RB, CAR
🔼 +21 - Taysom Hill - TE, NO
🔼 +18 - Brock Purdy - QB, SF

📉 Fallers
🔽 -31 - Jahan Dotson - WR, WAS
🔽 -26 - Kendre Miller - RB, NO
🔽 -23 - Ben Sinnott - TE, WAS
🔽 -20 - Jonathon Brooks - RB, CAR
🔽 -19 - Ricky Pearsall - WR, SF

Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet

📝 Draft Day Cheat Sheet

I’ve put together a little cheat sheet to pair with my Abusing Draft Rankings. It includes projections and a value column for Standard, Half PPR and PPR scoring on ESPN and Sleeper. Check it out!

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🥇 Top-Ten QBs

This week’s QB rankings:

Rank

Player

Team

1

Josh Allen

BUF

2

Jalen Hurts

PHI

3

Patrick Mahomes

KC

4

Lamar Jackson

BAL

5

Kyler Murray

ARI

6

C.J. Stroud

HOU

7

Dak Prescott

DAL

8

Anthony Richardson

IND

9

Joe Burrow

CIN

10

Jordan Love

GB

Thank you for tuning in, let’s have a good season.

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